Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.473096 0.605864 0.749404 0.914169 1.096293 1.289891 1.509757
2025-03-30 0.275917 0.448524 0.655711 0.912832 1.215137 1.552558 1.951549
2025-04-06 0.170995 0.349774 0.584829 0.894131 1.273241 1.709419 2.237475
2025-04-13 0.121335 0.307969 0.573203 0.938038 1.398442 1.938920 2.603140
2025-04-20 0.087305 0.277318 0.568022 0.983328 1.519860 2.159587 2.954706
2025-04-27 0.064107 0.256302 0.571281 1.035974 1.647786 2.386212 3.311978
2025-05-04 0.052999 0.253781 0.599539 1.120705 1.815270 2.660012 3.724751
2025-05-11 0.038279 0.237588 0.603864 1.170627 1.936907 2.877177 4.069612
2025-05-18 0.022090 0.208197 0.582762 1.182026 2.006619 3.029223 4.335465
2025-05-25 0.005789 0.156464 0.515535 1.121518 1.977784 3.056260 4.448207
2025-06-01 0.000056 0.111529 0.449577 1.056040 1.937484 3.065405 4.536299
2025-06-08 NaN 0.084906 0.411656 1.028886 1.946055 3.133883 4.694843
2025-06-15 NaN 0.073208 0.405083 1.054027 2.031954 3.307925 4.992595
2025-06-22 NaN 0.057628 0.385383 1.056623 2.086419 3.442593 5.243531
2025-06-29 NaN 0.040236 0.353573 1.035317 2.104442 3.528098 5.431544
2025-07-06 NaN 0.037270 0.361963 1.083024 2.221835 3.743608 5.782568
2025-07-13 NaN 0.034781 0.371060 1.131756 2.340677 3.961084 6.136218
2025-07-20 NaN 0.033735 0.384622 1.188431 2.471224 4.194157 6.509757
2025-07-27 NaN 0.037982 0.417085 1.279404 2.652353 4.494275 6.968097
2025-08-03 NaN 0.036445 0.428807 1.332904 2.778521 4.721957 7.335374
2025-08-10 NaN 0.029324 0.418142 1.345109 2.843583 4.868704 7.600548
2025-08-17 NaN 0.015002 0.367648 1.280277 2.792427 4.859878 7.668017
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005270 0.317413 1.209993 2.729641 4.833162 7.710875